I'm going to get into rejection candles in the price action series, but here is an appetizer.
Notice the long wick on the candle that I circled with the oval. That is an indication the trend has come to an end. I also drew an arrow to a similar candle. I cheated and took note of the fact that price just broke under the level kijun and just above the cloud. The DOWN had not really been that strong to that point to indicate to me it was time to reverse. The circles one has a longer wick sitting on top of the cloud. Just in case I am wrong, then the stop is set for that swing low.
The pair figure to eclipse the recent swing high, as the SD channel would indicate. It is an uptrend, overall, so that also indicates that swing high will be broken. Once it is broke, there would also be quite a few pips to be gained from that point because of the nature of the break of the swing high. As a rule you can measure the distance from the swing high to the swing low, then add it to the swing high and that is the proximity of the next leg. The MR1 at 1.60623 is the next reference point beyond the swing high, so it makes for a conservative target.
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