In the strong bull market he was giving bearish calls for months, now in the bearish trend, he gives bullish calls, with a pull back expected any time, He will get fooled & how typically like the retail trader.
In a strong bull market, correction was due, so bearish calls were expected. Now it seems like bear market ending, so he is giving bull signal.
What do you think. He should give you the sell signal at bottom, and buy signal at top. Amazing friend. Keep Going.
On the 100% above of retracement to the nearest fall, you wanted to buy considering it the bull market (strong), now price is retracing to 61% of the previous bull campaign, and here you want to short. Even if you would have gone with the trendlines, there was no idea buying there at top, and now selling, where reversal can occur.
You want to theoratically go with the classic example of buying at top and selling at the bottom.
Check the chart: -
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