General Elections 2019

[cinderblock]

These are the least favorable polls (for BJP) that I have quoted

There are others too which are willing to project higher numbers

Let me know if you find a news channel / poll willing to stick its neck out with numbers lower than this.

 

[siddhant4u]

even on 19th eve there will be 10's of poll and all will vary between 215 - 300 and yet final answer will be known only on 23rd. However, mean/avg of exit poll could give us fair idea.

My personal calculations based on UP voting in 2014 suggests bjp wining just 43 seats (in 2014 they won 71, lost 1 in bypolls later so 70). This was based on SP+BSP fighting together. I gave benefit of doubt to BJP on all seats with 40% vote even if 43% were towards SP+BSP and yet it didn't crossed 50 mark.

It's expected that bjp will lose few seats in gujarat/mp/rajasthan and chattisgarh too but not at the scale of UP as rest places there is no major threat to bjp.

Also, consider that in 2014 bjp won on 282 seats, but couldn't win a single by-election and lost 10 parliament seats even though Modi lahar was in place.

so 271 - 25/30 seat lose in UP - some other losses gives around 220/230 seats to bjp, which means NDA will form govt but will need Biju Patnayak + Mamta and/or TDP back in NDA. In worst case along with Didi, Bahanji could back BJP govt too. It happened in past even after 'tilak taraju aur talwar.. inko jute maro chaar' bjp + bsp formed govt in UP not once but twice.. Mahathagbandhan, Mahamilawat or tukade-tukade gang is real possibility whether it's Congress or BJP.

 

[cinderblock]

You didn't mention WB and Orissa

Elections work both ways.

https://www.cnbctv18.com/videos/eco...ronger-this-time-in-uttar-pradesh-3285601.htm

 

[siddhant4u]

You didn't mention WB and Orissa

Elections work both ways.

https://www.cnbctv18.com/videos/eco...ronger-this-time-in-uttar-pradesh-3285601.htm

some losses from other states will be covered from WB and Orissa. But don't expect a clean sweep in these states by BJP yet.

 

[cinderblock]

Where did I expect a clean sweep?

Since you didnt mention it at all, I thought you should

 

[raindrops]

signs of what is coming
why so urgent? wait for a few days
CBI withdraws plea seeking further probe into Bofors case
https://indianexpress.com/article/i...eking-further-probe-into-bofors-case-5730842/

 

[siddhant4u]

signs of what is coming
why so urgent? wait for a few days
CBI withdraws plea seeking further probe into Bofors case
https://www.indiatoday.in/elections...mission-opposition-support-1526355-2019-05-16

correct link
https://indianexpress.com/article/i...eking-further-probe-into-bofors-case-5730842/

so Bofors case was discharged by Hon. SC and yet it's still a corruption case. However Rafale case can't be bcos it's dismissed by SC ?? No logic in Indian politics.

Beside, election khatam, all case withdrawn.. soon jijaji will get clean chit in land case too.. just like A Raja.

 

[timepass]

This election is really bring out the worst.

Gandhi Assassin Nathuram Godse A "Patriot", Says BJP's Pragya Thakur

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/lok...dse-a-patriot-says-bjps-pragya-thakur-2038549

 

[siddhant4u]

This election is really bring out the worst.

Gandhi Assassin Nathuram Godse A "Patriot", Says BJP's Pragya Thakur

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/lok...dse-a-patriot-says-bjps-pragya-thakur-2038549

what you can expect from Pragya Thakur... she faked her health issue to get out on bail, miraculously got cured of cancer by cow urine, and fought election... oh.. also killed Karkare (by giving him Shrap)

Indian politics was at it's low when Phoolan Devi got elected... since then anything is possible in this country.

 

[timepass]

what you can expect from Pragya Thakur... she faked her health issue to get out on bail, miraculously got cured of cancer by cow urine, and fought election... oh.. also killed Karkare (by giving him Shrap)

Indian politics was at it's low when Phoolan Devi got elected... since then anything is possible in this country.

Phoolan was a different case, different story.