Some of my forecasts

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The MMM's of trading or the basic 1,2,3's

The easiest and most exciting part of trading is developing a methodology. After all, it is pretty exciting when a newbie opens up the charts, studies some indicators, and then is able to use them to predict future price action. There is much aura of excitement in forums like this one when it comes to that, and Ill add, rightfully so.

Let me drop the first bomb. Once the methodology has been developed, it is only the beginning of the road to success. (Stay with me. Were in an industry where 90% of all traders fail, and most of that 90% know how to forecast market movement within the scope of how they trade.)
The next part in the developmental process for the trader is money or margin management skills. Without this skill, you are doomed to fail. Many traders jump into the markets jazzed and so excited about there accomplishment in developing their ability to predict market movements. They feel they are ready to conquer the world and next month they will have $1 million in their account. Something happens!
They are still able to use their methodology to predict market turns and reversals. But, there equity is dropping instead of increasing. Now they start blaming their broker for trading against them, the big players in the markets for moving the markets, this economic event or that other event, and the excuses continue until you build a mountain with them.

Truth be known, that trader has not developed money management skills. They take position sizes that are too large and /or run their trades with no stops. No matter how good your methodology is, you will be wrong sometime, and by avoiding money management is when you get smacked with the big loss that throws all the hard earned gains to the wind.

Lets say up to this point the trader has developed the methodology and the money management skills, now he is ready to make a ton of money in trading, right? Wrong!
You might have the best methodology in the world, and the money management skills in the world, and you still might lose it all. Yet, at this point, the trader could be ready to go live.
The next part of trading to harness is the mental discipline. Trading with virtual money and trading with real money are 2 complete different things. This is why I say, after you pass the 1st 2 parts of this program, and then enter the markets as conservatively as possible. So not worry about making the BIG money. Be patient with yourself and with the growth of your money. After all you have the rest of your life to enjoy it.
The reason I say at the beginning to be as conservative as possible is because the smaller amount of money at stake, the easier it will be on you mentally. It is now a test of the fear and greed of trading. It is the test to stick to your methodology with your real money at stake. This is the intangible element no one knows about. Your equity will definitely know about it. There is nothing glamorous about this part of trading, yet it is as important as the other 2 aspects. This is the part where people get in forums like this one, post their forecasts, look like the greatest thing since flapjacks, but their account balance is heading south (Its okay for the markets to head south, but not your account balance.). This is the element that will separate the men in this business from the boys.
This is why it is of utmost importance to take all the time that is needed to thoroughly develop each stage and the transition. The mountain to climb looks easy because of the initial excitement in the development of the methodology, and it is like there is nothing else to do. That is barely the beginning.

In review the 3 stages that thoroughly need to be developed at each level are:
1. The methodology, which is the obvious starting point.
2. Money management. It seems easy insignificant, but youll die on the vine without it.
3. Mental discipline. The intangible element that determines if you are really ready even after you go live.

I welcome comments and everyones input concerning this post.
 
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Hello sir,Sir I would be emailing you in a moment, Sir I am seeing the aud/usd daily chart and the pair is at a critical level well above the trend line it seems like almost getting to the D cloud Span sir - A,Sir there is a fresh future bearish cloud in confluence with the stoch ahead , and the chikou span resting at just Span -B and the logic adds up that a correction to 1.0119 to take place sir ?

 
Hi everyone! I thought I would come to this forum and look around a bit. I trade forex, exclusively, and have a strong passion for it. I trade using the ichimoku cloud, a proprietary set of S&R's, and use the stochastics as a momentum indicator and to use for OB/OS conditions.
The developmental process of my methodology was arduous, but worth the price that was paid. I'm now trading and winning consistently.
I do most of my posting on my blog, but I thought I would come here and maybe meet a few more traders.I'll use this thread to post some of my forecasts.
hello sir

sir, i wanna ask one question that can i make forex trading as safe future career?

i am asking this because i am an engineer and i am not interested in that field because i have to be dependent on others thats why, so is forex be the good future market as its totally independent market and all is depending on me ?
 
Hello, read the above post number #1724, Paul sir has clearly explained it! btw It looks like you have just entered the market ! Sir, you should continue your engineering and when you are free open a demo account and start practicing ! your post is illogical about forex is dependent on one's self and not on other so it is better than engineering !it is not like a job where you follow a same routine everyday do the same work everyday! Sir what will be the use if you are not winning?first you should have that winning system,experience and mental discipline to win it requires lots of screen time after all 90% of people are loosing in the forex market!
 
Hello, read the above post number #1724, Paul sir has clearly explained it! btw It looks like you have just entered the market ! Sir, you should continue your engineering and when you are free open a demo account and start practicing ! your post is illogical about forex is dependent on one's self and not on other so it is better than engineering !it is not like a job where you follow a same routine everyday do the same work everyday! Sir what will be the use if you are not winning?first you should have that winning system,experience and mental discipline to win it requires lots of screen time after all 90% of people are loosing in the forex market!
yaa you are saying true. ok now i will first learn it and than i will practice in demo a/c with mental discipline and proper methodology and money management.
 
Hello sir,Sir I would be emailing you in a moment, Sir I am seeing the aud/usd daily chart and the pair is at a critical level well above the trend line it seems like almost getting to the D cloud Span sir - A,Sir there is a fresh future bearish cloud in confluence with the stoch ahead , and the chikou span resting at just Span -B and the logic adds up that a correction to 1.0119 to take place sir ?

We all are expecting a reversal but for now the market is heavily consolidative ! As mr paul said the trendline which is drawn on the daily remains intact and unless it breaks the tenken and trend line we have sideways move
 
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