LTT, good question. It's also the type I really enjoy.
Now you are going to think I'm nuts, so me let say it right off the bat, "The USD is not weaker against the CHF."
Should I stop there or continue? Okay, I'll continue.
The CHF is stronger against the USD. Check the hourly on the CHF on all the crosses and tell me who won the day.
The reason? When I posted my forecast on the USD/CHF during Tokyo, the rate was .9537. That was containment. There was no place for it to go. It did peak at .9544, but who's going to complain over 7 pips? There was still room for the other USD pairs to move in the same respective direction. The reason we see many of them moving sideways today is because they are trying to decide if this is it, or do they want to continue one more leg in the trend.
This is relative to what we talked about at Nifty50. Most USD pairs are under the ADR today. This is because it is decision time. The USD/CHF is above the ADR as is evidenced by the sharp move. There were no options but to head south.
Continuation to what I was asking you earlier -
Today, the USD is weaker against the CHF, but the Eur and Gbp are almost flat.... how?